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Most strategies die in the first 90 days live
Your backtest is lying to you.This 24-point checklist proves it — before you risk a cent.
The same validation framework Rubicon runs on every strategy. Six phases. Twenty-four yes/no questions. If your strategy fails any of them, you're not ready to go live — and now you'll know exactly what to fix.
24 yes/no questions across 6 validation phases
The 5 backtest lies that fool 80% of retail traders
Hard thresholds (Sharpe, drawdown, OOS) — not vibes
Works with Pine, NinjaScript, EasyLanguage, MQL, Python
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What's inside
- 01Hypothesis & Edge Definition
- 02In-Sample Backtest
- 03Walk-Forward Optimization
- 04Monte Carlo & Robustness
- 05Regime Cohort Analysis
- 06Live Paper Trading
Bonus: the 5 backtest lies
- Overfitting that looks like alpha
- Lookahead bias hiding in your data
- Survivorship bias in your symbol list
- Unrealistic fills (you didn't really get that price)
- Cherry-picked windows that hide drawdowns
Educational material only. Not investment advice.
Who this is for
For traders who've already blown an account — and refuse to do it twice.
If you've watched a beautiful equity curve come apart in live trading, you already know the gap between "looks profitable" and "is profitable." This checklist is the bridge.